One of the main features of Football Betting Brain is the tipping service we provide.
How do we come up with tips?
Our predictions are based on mathematical principles, so for any fixture about to be played between two teams, we look at how these two teams have been performing, based mainly on goals, but also on shots on and off target, and corners. This information is compared with matches that have already been played over recent seasons, and where it would have been significantly profitable to bet on a home win in similar matches, we tip a home win. Similarly, where it would have been significantly profitable to bet on an away win, we tip an away win.
What is our staking plan?
Our staking plan is fairly complex, but is based on setting stakes to try to acheive a profit per bet that is a certain percentage of the bank. This means that stakes will be lower when odds are higher, and stakes will be higher when odds are lower. It also means that stakes will gradually increase as our bank increases or gradually fall when our bank decreases. Our staking plan also includes a process whereby stakes are increased for bets that we think offer the most value.
Many tipping services will use "points" when advising on bets. For example, they may advise on a starting bank of 200 points, and then a stake of 5 points per bet. Or they may suggest you start with a bank of 100 points and then stake 2% of your bank per bet. In order to keep things simple and easy to follow, we have used a starting bank of £500 and give our recommended stakes in pounds also. However, the figures we give can easily be adjusted by dividing by or multiplying by a factor. If you wanted to follow our tips, but only had a betting bank of £100, then simply divide the recommended stakes by 5.
When will the tips appear on the site?
Our tips for weekend matches will usually appear on the site on the Thursday before. This is in accordance with our When to Bet? article, where we believe this offers maximum value. When there is a significant number of midweek matches, we may also provide tips for these. These will normally appear on the site on Mondays.
What if the odds change?
The best odds offered by bookmakers may change before the match takes place. For example, we may post a set of tips that includes recommending a bet at odds of 11/10, but by the time you go to place the bet, the best odds available may only be 21/20. We believe that our tips offer significant value, so any small reduction should still offer value. If, however, the best odds have been reduced more dramatically (e.g. from 5/4 to evens), then the value may have gone and you should consider ignoring the tip.
Remember that the best odds can increase too. Whenever you go to place a bet, you should always use an odds comparison site (e.g. Odds Checker) to make sure you get the best odds available.
How can I find out how well the tips are doing?
For each set of tips, once all of the matches have been played, the results will be posted, along with running totals to show their ongoing profit or loss.
What happens if I follow these tips, but lose money?
Our tips are provided free of charge, but please take note of our disclaimer. We encourage you to do your own research and only bet when you are confident there is value in the bet. Football Betting Brain cannot be held responsible for any losses you may incur by following our tips.